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Forget "The Market Is Good." Here's What These 5 Numbers Actually Tell You

 Most homeowners don't need to know everything about the housing market. They just want answers to questions like:

  • If I listed today, would my home sell quickly?

  • Would buyers expect me to negotiate?

  • Are prices still holding up in my neighborhood?

  • Should I wait until next year?

The good news is you don't need to watch the market every day to answer those questions.

Five local metrics tell most of the story. Together, they reveal how competitive the market is, how buyers are behaving, and what that means for homeowners in Connecticut.



Here are the five data points I track regularly, and why each matters.

1. Inventory: What's for Sale Near You

Inventory is the total number of homes for sale in your area right now.

That one number tells you who holds the power in a negotiation.

Low inventory means fewer choices for buyers, which means more competition for your home if you list. High inventory means buyers have options, and you have to work harder to stand out.

So, here’s the question you need a clear answer to: 

Is inventory in your neighborhood going up, down, or holding steady compared to last year? 

If it's rising, pricing strategy starts to matter more, because buyers have more to compare your home against. If it's falling, the window to sell with less competition may be shorter than it looks.

Here’s what I’m seeing in Connecticut: 

  • Single-family homes for sale: 10,367

  • Compared to one year ago: 10% down

2. Days on Market: How Fast Homes Are Actually Selling

Days on market measures how long homes sit before going under contract. Think of it as the market's report card on pricing.

A home that sits too long starts to carry a stigma. Buyers wonder what's wrong with it. The longer it sits, the more leverage shifts to the buyer's side of the table.

Here’s the question to ask: 

Are homes in your price range and neighborhood selling in days, or in weeks?

If days on market is climbing, the market is telling sellers something about price. If it's short, well-priced homes are still moving quickly. Knowing which category your home falls into before you list changes how you should approach pricing from day one.

Here’s what I’m seeing in Connecticut:

  • Days on Market: 40 houses median

  • Compared to one year ago: this is up 2 days

3. Price Reductions: What Buyers Are Pushing Back On

This is the percentage of active listings that have dropped their asking price at least once. It's a lagging indicator, meaning it tells you what already happened to homes listed for sale.

A high rate of price reductions in your area means buyers are pushing back, and aspirational pricing is getting punished.

So, here’s the question: 

What percentage of homes in your zip code have had a price cut in the last 30 days?

A rising number means the market is correcting itself, and the right response is pricing accurately from day one. Homes priced correctly from the start tend to sell well and sell fast. Homes that get chased down in price usually take longer and net less in the end.

Here’s what I’m seeing in Connecticut: 

  • Percentage of Single-Family Homes for Sale with Price Reductions: %14.1

  • Compared to one year ago: 1.2 % points

4. Months of Supply: The Number That Tells You Whose Market It Is

Months of supply measures how long it would take to sell every home currently on the market if no new listings came on. It's the clearest single signal of market balance available.

  • Under 3 months: seller's market

  • 3 to 6 months: balanced market

  • Over 6 months: buyer's market

Here’s what you need to know:

Where does your local market sit right now, and which direction is it trending?

This number can move quickly. A market that sat at 1.8 months of supply a couple years ago and now sits at 4.2 months has fundamentally changed. Homeowners who understand that movement price and time their move accordingly. 

The ones who don't are often the ones taking price cuts later.

Here’s what I’m seeing in Connecticut: 

  • Months of Supply: 2.6 months

  • Compared to one year ago: 0.1

5. Mortgage Rates: The Number That Affects You Too

Mortgage rates affect sellers just as much as buyers. Every point rates move changes how many qualified buyers can afford your home at your target price.

A buyer who could afford your home at 6.5% may not qualify at 7.5%. That directly affects your pool of potential buyers before your home even hits the market.

Here’s the question that demands a clear answer:

At today's rate, how many buyers in your market can realistically afford a home at your price point?

Rates also affect your next move. If you have a 3% rate locked in, deciding to sell isn't just about what your home is worth. It's about what payment you'd be moving into. That math is worth walking through with real numbers before you decide anything.

As of now, the weekly average rate for a 30-year mortgage sits at 6.58%, up from the previous week’s average rate of 6.55% but down from 6.72% roughly one year ago. 

Understanding these five numbers and where they stand in Connecticut empowers you to act with confidence when they indicate you’re in a good position to sell.

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